CPI and crypto: why the surprise matters
CPI can reset expectations for interest rates. For crypto, the surprise versus consensus and the market reaction matter more than the headline alone.
Read moreNEWS / MACRO & ECONOMICS
Macro & Economics
Central banks, inflation, US labor data, the dollar, Treasury yields and global liquidity—explained through their impact on crypto market conditions.
12materials
PCE, the Fed and Bitcoin: reading the inflation signal
PCE is a key inflation input for the Fed. Read the release against expectations, rates and Bitcoin’s actual reaction rather than assuming a fixed direction.
Read more
NFP and crypto: how the US jobs report moves risk markets
The US jobs report can change expectations for growth, inflation and Fed policy. Crypto reacts to that repricing, not to employment data in isolation.
Read more
Fed decision, dot plot and press conference
A Fed day has several information layers: the rate decision, projections and the press conference. Their messages can point in different directions.
Read more
DXY and Bitcoin: when a stronger dollar matters
The dollar is an important macro input for crypto, but its relationship with Bitcoin is not constant. Regime and positioning determine how useful DXY is.
Read more
US Treasury yields and crypto: what bonds are signaling
US Treasury yields change the relative appeal of risk assets and the cost of capital. Sharp moves in rates can affect crypto even without crypto-specific news.
Read more
Global liquidity and crypto: why financial conditions matter
Crypto is sensitive to financial conditions and the availability of capital. Liquidity trends are background context, not a clockwork signal for the next candle.
Read more
ECB, the euro and crypto: how European policy can spill over
ECB decisions can move the euro, European rates and regional risk appetite. Crypto may react through EUR/USD, cross-market positioning and session-to-session capital flows.
Read more
Bank of Japan, yen and carry trades: crypto spillovers
Bank of Japan policy and yen volatility can affect global carry trades. Rapid deleveraging in Asia can spill into crypto and other risk assets.
Read more
Oil, inflation and Bitcoin: an indirect macro channel
Energy prices can change inflation expectations and the expected path of monetary policy, creating an indirect macro channel into Bitcoin and crypto.
Read more
PMI, recession risk and crypto: when weak growth is not bullish
Weak growth data can lower rate expectations while also hurting risk appetite. Crypto’s response depends on which effect the market prices more strongly.
Read more
US macro calendar for crypto: high-volatility days
A macro calendar is most useful before the release. Mark the event, expected volatility, key levels and execution risks instead of chasing the first candle.
Read more